You've without doubt seen all of them or read them. Glossy adverts or four-color propagates in magazines and papers promising to instruct you all the juicy information about successful real estate investing. And all you should do to learn each one of these real property investing
surface encounters chuck russo secrets is to pay a rather high sum for a one-or two-day seminar.
Often these types of slick real-estate investing workshops claim that you can make intelligent, profitable real-estate investments with zero money lower (with the exception of, of training course, the significant fee you buy the seminar). Now, how attractive is in which? Make a make money from real property investments you made out of no funds. Possible? Not likely.
Successful real estate investment requires cash flow. That's the type of almost any business or investment, especially real-estate investing. You put your money into a thing that you desire and plan can make you more income.
Unfortunately too few newbies towards the world of property investing believe that it's any magical form of business in which standard company rules don't apply. Simply place, if you want to stay in real-estate investing for more than, say, a day or 2, then you will have to generate money to use and invest.
While it might be true in which buying real-estate with absolutely no money down is easy, anyone who is even made a simple investment (like buying their very own home) understands there's a lot more involved in real estate investing that will set you back money. For example, what concerning any necessary repairs?
So, the primary rule people a new comer to real estate investing must remember would be to have obtainable cash supplies. Before you choose to actually do any real-estate investing, save some funds. Having a little money in the bank when you begin real estate investing
surface encounters chuck russo can help you make more profitable real estate investments in rental properties, for example.
When property investing inside rental qualities, you'll want every single child select simply qualified tenants. If you have no income when real-estate investing within rental qualities, you might be pressured to take in a less qualified tenant since you need somebody to pay you money to be able to take treatment of fixes or lawyer fees.
For almost any real property investing, meaning rental properties or even properties you get to re-sell, having cash reserved can enable you to ask for any higher value. You can require a higher price from your investment because a person
surface encounters chuck russo won't feel financially strapped as you wait for an offer. You won't be backed into a corner and forced to accept just any offer because you desperately need the money.
Another downfall of numerous new to property investing will be, well, greed. Make a profit, yes, but do not become therefore greedy which you ask with regard to ridiculous local rental or resale rates on many real est investments.
Those a new comer to real property investing have to see real estate investing being a business, NOT a spare time activity. Don't believe real property investing is going to make you abundant overnight. What business does?
It requires about 6 months to decide if real-estate investing set for you. If you've decided that, hey I enjoy this, then offer yourself many years to truly start making money. It typically takes at least five years to become truly productive in real-estate investing.
Persistence could be the key to success in real-estate investing. If you've decided that real estate investing is made for you,
surface encounters chuck russo keep plugging away at it and the rewards will be greater than you imagined.
The manic depressive market wildly swings up and down on each new news story: The Fed is meeting at Jackson Hole on August 27 possibly to discuss QE3 (or not), and that news may pump up the stock market. But China's banks seem to be using Enron's accounting manual, Europe's banks need liquidity and are loaded with bad debt, and U.S. banks only temporarily TARPed over trouble. Gaddafi's regime in Libya appears over, but Libya's oil output may not fully recover for years. Venezuela wants banks to open their vaults and send back its gold, but Wells Fargo says gold is a bubble. Pundits say gold is a barbarous relic, but exchanges and banks are now using gold as money. The U.S. is headed for hyperinflation with skyrocketing stock prices, but on the other hand, we seem to be deflating like Japan and doomed to a deflating stock market for another decade. Whom do you trust and what should you do?
No one knows where the stock market or U.S. Treasury bonds are headed tomorrow, but in my opinion, here are some fundamentals to consider.
The Bad News Isn't Going Away
Until we have real global financial reform and restrain the banks, we won't have sustained growth. The stock market hasn't hit bottom. There's a crisis of confidence in banks and all currencies. We haven't taken effective steps to tackle the U.S. deficit through productivity. We haven't examined spending to eliminate fraud and waste, and we haven't addressed our need for more tax revenues by eliminating the Bush tax cuts (for starters).
Savers are punished by "stranguflation:" negative real returns on "safe" assets, declining housing prices, and rising costs of food, energy and health care. The Fed touts the falling cost of I-Pads, but how often do you buy one of those, and how often do you eat?
Good News (for Now)
The USD is still the world's reserve currency. Even though we devalued the USD, there has been a global flight to U.S. Treasuries pushing down our borrowing costs (yields). No one in the global financial community feels the U.S. has done its best to correct our problems, but severe problems in Europe, China's inflation, and Middle East unrest has money running to the U.S. Since we've devalued the dollar, we appear to be a bargain for foreign investors, even though they are terrified by our money printing presses and the potential for inflating commodity prices in the long run.
How did I play this? My own portfolio is currently more than 20% gold with some silver, and I bought out-of-the-money call options on the VIX when it was in the teens with maturities of 4-6 months. This is "short" stock market strategy, one could have also done well buying puts on the S&P a few months ago. In the first big stock market downdraft in August, I sold the options when the VIX hit the high 30's, and I'll buy more options again if the VIX falls again. Many investors are not comfortable with options, and this strategy isn't appropriate for everyone. The rest of my portfolio is chiefly in cash or deep value opportunities.
What Happens Next?
No one knows for sure, and anyone who tells you he or she does is selling snake oil. The situation is fluid. We tried to reflate our deflating economy. Our massive dollar devaluation may encourage investment, because it's protectionist. It reduces our cost of labor, among a few other "benefits." The problem is that the Fed has printed money, and we haven't done anything to position the U.S. for greater productivity. We're trying to inflate our way out of a problem without investing in productivity. This is a very dangerous way of attacking this problem. Even more "stimulus" would just be an attempt to inflate our way out of our long-standing deep recession. That's the foolish and unsuccessful strategy we've adopted so far. That could lead to runaway budget deficits (our deficit already looks intractable) and bring us to double-digit inflation. Even the European flight to US Treasuries may not save us from a deeper recession in that scenario.
If we don't overreact -- and we may have already overreacted -- our dollar devaluation results in our foreign trade situation first getting worse (as it has now) before it gets better. Now is the time (actually, we should have started years ago) to spend capital to increase U.S. productivity. The dollar's plunge relative to other currencies will eventually make us more competitive. This will be good for blue chip companies, in particular those that own real assets and manufacture items. The Fed and Washington may do anything, however, so one must watch the news.
What does this mean for the U.S. stock market? In my opinion, it is currently not good value and feels like the 1970s when we experienced a recession followed by inflation. One should consider staying mostly in cash and expect stocks become cheaper. One might miss an interim rally, especially if the Fed announces QE3 (more "stimulus" and money printing) or more bank bailouts, but that is like using Kleenex laced with sneezing powder. We will see stock prices even lower than they are today. The old paradigm dictated that stocks were a buy when P/E ratios were 13 or less (and many are well above that), dividends at 4%, and book values at 1.3 or less. (This excludes oil companies, which tend to trade at lower P/E ratios in general.) I believe we'll see much better deals in coming months. In 1978/79 P/E ratios sank below 7 for blue chip companies.
Should one buy U.S. Treasuries with long maturities? The long end of the bond market doesn't reward investors due to the potential of rising interest rates. If interest rates spike to double digits, then one can reassess the situation.
Long term investors should consider buying commodities or companies that own physical commodities. We're running out of key commodities especially related to agriculture and fertilizer. Washington's brand of the latter isn't the type we need.
It is very difficult to determine the sex of a pigeon. I used to keep pigeons as a kid so I’m good at it.
There are three ways to do it:
1 – Check their reproductive organs
Pigeons genitalia all look the same (they have ‘cloaca‘) so you will have to cut them open to actually see their reproductive organs. Not a very efficient method.
2 – See who goes on top
There isn’t much variation in the sex life of a pigeon. Males go on top. No Kama Sutra here. Fortunately all they do is eat and, ehm, reproduce. You won’t have to wait very long to see that happen. But you do need 2 pigeons and some patience.
3 – Look at their faces
Yes, pigeons have faces just like humans.
It takes years to be able to read the face of a pigeon. I kept pigeons as a kid so I can tell the sex of any pigeon just by looking at their faces for few seconds. Just like with most humans. Humans have the added benefit of clothing, hair and breasts. But even without that a face looks feminine or masculine.
Investors try to look under all those feathers but up close all excel sheets look the same. They try to see who goes on top but then you would have to wait until the entrepreneur meets an actual client.
But once you have met enough starting entrepreneurs one look at someones face is usually enough. You know what you have got and who is a good bet and who isn’t.
Just like with pigeons.
This is a variation of post I published in 2007. Photo credit: Igor Stevanovic via Shutterstock.
